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Arbeits- und Forschungsschwerpunkte

Betriebswirtschaftliches Risikomanagement

  • Operatives und strategisches Risiko- und Krisenmanagement
  • Risikoerfassung (Identifikation + Messung), Risikobewertung und Risikosteuerung
  • Strategische Risiken (z.B. Markteintritt und Wettbewerb, Industrie 4.0), adverse Risiken (z.B.  Wirtschaftskriminalität), Verhaltensrisiken (z.B. Non-Compliance, Moral Hazard, Vertrauens-erosion in der Organisation) und Corporate Governance
  • Supply-Chain-Risiken und Betriebskontinuitätsmanagement

Systemisches Risikomanagement

  • Vulnerabilitätsanalyse für kritische Infrastrukturen  (z.B. Netzgüter, kritische Versorgungsketten)
  • Systemmodellierung: Simulation von (interdependenten) Marktrisiken und komplexen Systemen
  • Verhaltensmodellierung in komplexen Systemen: Ansteckungs- und Kaskadeneffekte (z.B. Szenarien für Informationskaskaden oder Panikphänomene)
  • Ermittlung von Robustheit, Stabilität und Resilienz von Systemen 

Arbeits- und Forschungsmethoden

Entscheidungsmodellierung und Entscheidungsunterstützung

  • Statistische und szenarienbasierte Modelle zu Entscheidungen unter Unsicherheit und (fundamentaler) Ungewissheit (z.B. Monte-Carlo-Simulationen)
  • Statistische und szenarienbasierte Modellierung von Extremereignissen
  • Statistische und szenarienbasierte Modellierung komplexer Systeme
  • Entwicklung und Test robuster Systeme zur (Mehrziel)Entscheidungsunterstützung

Spieltheoretische Modellierung und Simulation

  • Defender-Attacker-Games, War-Gaming und einfache forensische Analysen
  • Agentenbasierte Simulation strategischer Interaktionen
  • Ökonomische Vertragstheorie, Mechanismus-Design und Verhandlungen (z.B. strategisches Verhandeln im Einkauf)
  • Verhaltensorientierte und psychologische Spieltheorie

Ökonomische Laborexperimente

  • Erhebung von Präferenzparametern  (z.B. Risikoaversion, Ambiguitätsaversion, Zeitpräferenz)
  • Analyse von Kooperations- und Koordinationsproblemen (z.B. Erhebung von Vertrauensbereitschaft, Vertrauenswürdigkeit und Akzeptanz, Beitragsbereitschaft zu einem öffentlichen Gut)
  • Analyse von starken Interessenkonflikten und Schutzstrategien (z.B. Defender-Attacker-Games)
  • Mechanismus-Design und Verhandlungsprotokolle (z.B. Risk-Shifting, multilaterale Verhandlungen)
  • Experimentelle Erprobung von Entscheidungsunterstützung

Nicht-experimentelle, interaktive Erhebungsmethoden

  • Experten- und Stakeholder-Workshops
  • Strukturierte Interviews
  • Statistische Surveys

Publikationsliste


Sonstiges
  1. Research agenda for enhanced cross-modal transport substitution and user protection.
    Doll, C.; Perrels, A.; Silla, A.; Tuominen, A.; Nokkala, M.; Bartsch, M.; Wiens, M.; Kreuz, M.; Temme, A.; Kochsiek, J.; Jaroszweski, D.
    2014
  2. Guidebook for Enhancing Resilience of European Road Transport in Extreme Weather Events.
    Doll, C.; Kühn, A.; Peters, A.; Juga, I.; Kral, S.; Enei, R.; Pietroni, F.; Mitsakis, E.; Stamos, I.; Schultmann, F.; Wiens, M.; Schätter, F.; Meng, S.; Bartsch, M.; Kynnös, K.; Hietajärvi, A.-M.; Kostiainen, J.; Mantsinen, H.; Hinkka, V.
    2014
Vorträge
  1. An approach for analyzing the impacts of smart grid topologies on critical infrastructure resilience.
    Ottenburger, S.; Münzberg, T.
    2017. 14th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2017), Albi, F, May 21-24, 2017
  2. Risk Differentiation for Critical Infrastructure Protection.
    Meng, S.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference, 24.-28.08.2014, Davos, CH
  3. A game-theoretic approach to assess adversarial risks.
    Meng, S.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 9th International Conference on Risk Analysis and Hazard Mitigation, 04.-06.06.2014, Brockenhurst, UK
  4. Stromausfall: Schutzziele und Referenzszenarios für kritische Infrastrukturen in der kommunalen Gefahrenabwehrplanung.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Raskob, W.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. Gemeinsames Treffen des Arbeitskreises Naturgefahren/-risiken der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Geographie und des Katastrophennetzes KatNET e.V., Berlin, 29.-30.September 2015
  5. Measuring resilience - the benefits of an empirical study of power outages by media data.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Raskob, W.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. Future Security 2015 : 10th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 15-17, 2015
  6. A transparent approach for prioritising security measures.
    Müller, T.; Meng, S.; Raskob, W.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. Future Security 2015 : 10th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 15-17, 2015
  7. Critical infrastructure resilience: a framework for considering micro and macro observation levels.
    Brauner, F.; Wiens, M.; Lechleuthner, A.; Münzberg, T.; Fiedrich, F.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2015), Kristiansand, N, May 24-27, 2015
  8. The effect of coping capacity depletion on critical infrastructure resilience.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultman, F.
    2015. 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2015), Kristiansand, N, May 24-27, 2015
  9. The SEAK project: Decision support for managing disruptions in food supply chains.
    Motzke, A.; Balster, A.; Hansen, O.; Herrmannsdörfer, M.; Schätter, F.; Friedrich, H.; Raskob, W.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Future Security : 9th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 16-18, 2014
  10. Dynamic-spatial vulnerability assessments: a methodical review for decision support in emergency planning for power outages.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Humanitarian Technology: Science, Systems and Global Impact (HumTech 2014), Boston, Mass., May 13-15, 2014
  11. Ausfall kritischer Infrastrukturen: Gefahrenabwehrpläne und Notfallkonzepte auf kommunaler Ebene.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 62.Jahresfachtagung der Vereinigung zur Föerdrung des Deutschen Brandschutzes, Dortmund, 16.-18.Juni 2014
  12. A decision support approach: evaluating the effectiveness of security measures by scenario-based multi-criteria analysis.
    Lin, L.; Möhrle, S.; Münzberg, T.; Raskob, W.
    2014. Future Security : 9th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 16-18, 2014
  13. Disruptions of food supply chains: A spatial vulnerability assessment approach for disaster management.
    Münzberg, T.; Motzke, A.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Future Security : 9th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 16-18, 2014
  14. A strategy evaluation framework based on dynamic vulnerability assessments.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 11th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, University Park, Pa., May 18-21, 2014
  15. Resilienz verstehen: Eine ganzheitliche und raumzeitliche Analyse der Wirkungen von Stromausfällen.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 14. Forum Katastrophenvorsorge, Leipzig, 4.-5. November 2014
  16. Near-real-time forensic disaster analysis: experiences from hurricane Sandy.
    Kunz, M.; Mühr, B.; Schröter, K.; Kunz-Plapp, T.; Daniell, J.; Khazai, B.; Wenzel, F.; Vannieuwenhuyse, M.; Comes, T.; Münzberg, T.; Elmer, F.; Fohringer, J.; Lucas, C.; Trieselmann, W.; Zschau, J.
    2013. European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly, Wien, A, April 7-12, 2013 Geophysical Research Abstracts, 15(2013) EGU2013-9183
  17. Priorization of security measures against terrorist threats to public rail transport systems using a scenario-based multi-criteria method and a knowledge database.
    Lin, L.; Brauner, F.; Münzberg, T.; Meng, S.; Moehrle, S.
    2013. 8th Future Security Conference, Berlin, September 17-19, 2013
  18. An integrated multi-criteria approach on vulnerability analysis in the context of load reduction.
    Münzberg, T.; Möhrle, S.; Müller, T.; Comes, T.; Schultmann, F.
    2013. 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM), Baden-Baden, May 12-15, 2013
  19. Decision support for critical infrastructure disruptions: An integrated approach to secure food supply.
    Münzberg, T.; Comes, T.; Groß, W.; Berbner, U.; Friedrich, H.; Pfohl, H. C.; Schultmann, F.
    2013. 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM), Baden-Baden, May 12-15, 2013
Forschungsberichte
  1. Schlussbericht BMBF Verbundprojekt SEAK, Teilvorhaben: Methoden zur szenariobasierten multikriteriellen Entscheidungsunterstützung für robuste Lebensmittelwarenketten.
    Bartsch, M.; Schätter, F.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2016. KIT, Karlsruhe
  2. Guidebook for Enhancing Resilience of European Air Traffic in Extreme Weather Events.
    Temme, A.; Kreuz, M.; Mühlhausen, T.; Schmitz, R.; Hyvärinen, O.; Kral, S.; Schätter, F.; Bartsch, M.; Michaelides, S.; Tymvios, F.; Papadakis, M.; Athanasatos, S.
    2014
  3. DSM CIP: The SEAK project, decision support for managing disruptions in food supply chains.
    Motzke, A.; Schätter, F.
    2014. Zschau, J. [Hrsg.] CEDIM Annual Research Report 2013 : Focus on Forensic Disaster Analysis in Near Real-Time Potsdam : Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology, 2014
  4. DSM CIP: Critical infrastructure disruption, decision support through assessing spatial vulnerabilities.
    Münzberg, T.
    2014. Zschau, J. [Hrsg.] CEDIM Annual Research Report 2013 : Focus on Forensic Disaster Analysis in Near Real-Time Potsdam : Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology, 2014
  5. DSM CIP: THe KritisF&E project, review on critical infrastructure protection related research projects.
    Münzberg, T.; Wandler, S.; Deines, E.
    2014. Zschau, J. [Hrsg.] CEDIM Annual Research Report 2013 : Focus on Forensic Disaster Analysis in Near Real-Time Potsdam : Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology, 2014
  6. DSM CIP: The RIKOV project, risks and costs of terrorist threats against public rail transport systems.
    Lin, L.; Meng, S.; Möhrle, S.
    2014. Zschau, J. [Hrsg.] CEDIM Annual Research Report 2013 : Focus on Forensic Disaster Analysis in Near Real-Time Potsdam : Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology, 2014
  7. Decision support methods in the field of critical infrastructure protection (DSM CIP): overview.
    Münzberg, T.; Möhrle, S.; Raskob, W.
    2014. Zschau, J. [Hrsg.] CEDIM Annual Research Report 2013 : Focus on Forensic Disaster Analysis in Near Real-Time Potsdam : Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology, 2014
  8. Assessment of indirect losses and economic impacts.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Zschau, J. [Hrsg.] CEDIM Annual Research Report 2013 : Focus on Forensic Disaster Analysis in Near Real-Time Potsdam : Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology, 2014
Proceedingsbeiträge
  1. An approach for analyzing the impacts of smart grid topologies on critical infrastructure resilience.
    Ottenburger, S.; Münzberg, T.
    2017. Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2017). Agility is Coming. Albi, F, May 21-24, 2017. Ed.: T. Comes, 400-411
  2. The supply chain as a complex system in German manufacturing (Abstract).
    Schultmann, F.; Bartsch, M.; Wiens, M.
    2014. IEEE 9th International System of Systems Engineering Conference, June 9-13, 2014, Stamford Grand, Adelaine
  3. Strategic Deterrence of Terrorist Attacks.
    Wiens, M.; Meng, S.; Schultmann, F.
    2016. Operations Research Proceedings 2014 : Selected Papers of the Annual International Conference of the German Operations Research Society (GOR), RWTH Aachen University, Germany, September 2-5, 2014. Ed.: M. Lübbecke, 621-626, Springer, Cham. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-28697-6_86
  4. Optimizing security vis-à-vis terrorist attacks. An application for public rail transport systems.
    Wiens, M.; Hu, B.; Schmitz, W.; Meng, S.; Pickl, S.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 9th future security : proceedings / Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 16 - 18, 2014. Ed.: K. Thoma, 257–265, Fraunhofer Verl., Stuttgart
  5. A multi-stage scenario construction approach for critical infrastructure protection.
    Schätter, F.; Meng, S.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. ISCRAM 2014 Conference Proceedings, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA, May 18‑21, 2014. 11th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management. Ed.: S. R. Hiltz, 399–408, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park (PA)
  6. Prioritization of security measures against terrorist threats to public rail transport systems using a scenario-based multi-criteria method and a knowledge data base.
    Lin, L.; Brauner, F.; Münzberg, T.; Meng, S.; Moehrle, S.
    2013. 8th future security : proceedings, Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 17 - 19, 2013. Ed.: M. Lauster, 195-204, Fraunhofer Verl., Stuttgart
  7. Industrial Vulnerability against Climate Change Impacts – An Indicator-Based Analysis for Germany and the Stuttgart Metropolitan Area.
    Schmidt, H.-M.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. The 5th World Sustainability Forum, 7–9 September 2015, Basel
  8. Risk Differentiation for Critical Infrastructure Protection.
    Meng, S.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Proceedings of the 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference, Davos, Switzerland, 24 August 2014 through 28 August 2014. Ed.: M. Stal, 472-475, GRF, Davos
  9. A game-theoretic approach to assess adversarial risks.
    Meng, S.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Risk Analysis IX : [Containing papers presented at the 9th International Conference on Computer Simulation in Risk Analysis and Hazard Mitigation, New Forerst; United Kingdom; 4 June 2014 through 6 June 2014]. Ed.: C.A. Brebbia, 141-152, WIT Press, Southhampton. doi:10.2495/RISK140131
  10. The effect of coping capacity depletion on critical infrastructure resilience.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultman, F.
    2015. 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2015), Kristiansand, NO, May 24-27, 2015. Ed.: L. Palen., ISCRAM, Kristiansand, NO
  11. Critical infrastructure resilience: a framework for considering micro and macro observation levels.
    Brauner, F.; Wiens, M.; Lechleuthner, A.; Münzberg, T.; Fiedrich, F.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2015), Kristiansand, N, May 24-27, 2015.Ed.: L. Palen, Palen, L. [Hrsg.] 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2015), Kristiansand, N, May 24-27, 2015 Proceedings published online, Online
  12. Measuring resilience - the benefits of an empirical study of power outages by media data.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Raskob, W.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. Security Research Conference : 10th Future Security, Berlin, September 15-17, 2015 Proceedings. Hrsg.: J. Beyerer, 379-387, Fraunhofer Verl., Stuttgart
  13. A transparent approach for prioritising security measures.
    Müller, T.; Meng, S.; Raskob, W.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. Security Research Conference : 10th Future Security, Berlin, September 15-17, 2015. Proceedings. Hrsg.: J. Beyerer, 217-224, Fraunhofer Verl., Stuttgart
  14. The SEAK project: Decision support for managing disruptions in food supply chains.
    Motzke, A.; Balster, A.; Hansen, O.; Herrmannsdörfer, M.; Schätter, F.; Friedrich, H.; Raskob, W.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Future Security : 9th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 16-18, 2014. Hrsg.: K. Thoma, 581-584, Fraunhofer Verl., Stuttgart
  15. Ausfall kritischer Infrastrukturen: Gefahrenabwehrpläne und Notfallkonzepte auf kommunaler Ebene.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 62.Jahresfachtagung der Vereinigung zur Förderung des Deutschen Brandschutzes, Dortmund, 16.-18.Juni 2014, 675-686, Vereinigung zur Förderung des Deuschen Brandschutzes e.V., Albenberge
  16. A decision support approach: evaluating the effectiveness of security measures by scenario-based multi-criteria analysis.
    Lin, L.; Möhrle, S.; Münzberg, T.; Raskob, W.
    2014. Future Security : 9th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 16-18, 2014. Hrsg.: K. Thoma, 266-273, Fraunhofer Verl., Stuttgart
  17. Disruptions of food supply chains: A spatial vulnerability assessment approach for disaster management.
    Münzberg, T.; Motzke, A.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Future Security : 9th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 16-18, 2014. Hrsg.: K. Thoma, 48-55, Fraunhofer Verl., Stuttgart
  18. A strategy evaluation framework based on dynamic vulnerability assessments.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 11th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, University Park, Pa., May 18-21, 2014. Ed.: S. R. Hiltz, 45-54, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA
  19. Near Real-Time Forensic Disaster Analysis: experiences from hurricane Sandy.
    Kunz, M.; Mühr, B.; Schröter, K.; Kunz-Plapp, T.; Daniell, J.; Khazai, B.; Wenzel, F.; Vannieuwenhuyse, M.; Gomes, T.; Münzberg, T.; Elmer, F.; Fohringer, J.; Lucas, C.; Trieselmann, W.; Zschau, J.
    2013. European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly, Wien, Österreich, April 7-12, 2013
  20. A generic system dynamic approach for the management of critical infrastructure disruptions.
    Münzberg, T.; Comes, T.; Schultmann, F.
    2012. Proceedings of the 9th International ISCRAM Conference, International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, Vancouver, Canada, April 22-25, 2012. Ed.: L. Rothkrantz, Simon Fraser University, Vancouver (CDN)
  21. An integrated multi-criteria approach on vulnerability analysis in the context of load reduction.
    Münzberg, T.; Mörle, S.; Müller, T.; Comes, T.; Schultmann, F.
    2013. 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM), Baden-Baden, 12.-15. Mai 2013. Hrsg.: T. Comes, 251-260, Karlsruhe Inst.of Technology, Campus North, Karlsruhe
  22. Decision support for critical infrastructure disruptions: An integrated approach to secure food supply.
    Münzberg, T.; Comes, T.; Groß, W.; Berbner, U.; Friedrich, H.; Pfohl, H. C.; Schultmann, F.
    2013. 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM), Baden-Baden, 12.-15.Mai 2013. Hrsg.: T. Comes, 312-316, Karlsruhe Inst.of Technology, Campus North, Karlsruhe
  23. Myofiber orientation and electrical activation in human and sheep atrial models.
    Zhao, J.; Krueger, M. W.; Seemann, G.; Meng, S.; Zhang, H.; Dössel, O.; LeGrice, I. J.; Smaill, B. H.
    2012. Proceedings of the 34th Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine & Biology Society, San Diego, USA, August 28 - September 1, 2012, 6365 - 6368, IEEE, Piscataway (NJ). doi:10.1109/EMBC.2012.6347450
Zeitschriftenaufsätze
  1. Schmutzige Bomben und ihre möglichen Folgen für die Bevölkerung.
    Raskob, W.; Münzberg, T.
    2017. Crisis Prevention, 1, 41-43
  2. A spatial-temporal vulnerability assessment to support the building of community resilience against power outage impacts.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2017. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 121, 99-118. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2016.11.027
  3. A new focus on risk reduction: An ad hoc decision support system for humanitarian relief logistics.
    Schätter, F.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. Ecosystem Health and Sustainability, 1 (3), 1-11. doi:10.1890/EHS14-0020.1
  4. Dynamic-spatial vulnerability assessments: a methodical review for decision support in emergency planning for power outages.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Procedia Engineering, 78, 78-87. doi:10.1016/j.proeng.2014.07.042
  5. Investigation of superstorm Sandy 2012 in a multi-disciplinary approach.
    Kunz, M.; Mühr, B.; Kunz-Plapp, T.; Daniell, J. E.; Khazai, B.; Wenzel, F.; Vannieuwenhuyse, M.; Comes, T.; Elmer, F.; Schröter, K.; Fohringer, J.; Münzberg, T.; Lucas, C.; Zschau, J.
    2013. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 13 (10), 2579-2598. doi:10.5194/nhess-13-2579-2013
  6. Investigation of superstorm Sandy 2012 in a multi-disciplinary approach.
    Kunz, M.; Mühr, B.; Kunz-Plapp, T.; Daniell, J. E.; Khazai, B.; Wenzel, F.; Vannieuwenhuyse, M.; Comes, T.; Elmer, F.; Schröter, K.; Fohringer, J.; Münzberg, T.; Lucas, C.; Zschau, J.
    2013. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences - Discussions, 1 (2), 625-679. doi:10.5194/nhessd-1-625-2013
  7. Beherrschung und Bewältigung von Stromausfällen. Vorbereitung der Kommunalen Gefahrenabwehr.
    Münzberg, T.; Käser, B.; Bach, C.; Schultmann, F.
    2013. VFDB-Zeitschrift, (4), 205-211
  8. Stromausfall gegen Stromausfälle.Wie Lastreduzierungen Netzzusammenbrüche verhindern können und welches Dilemma daraus für den Bevölkerungsschutz und die Gefahrenabwehrplanung resultiert.
    Münzberg, T.; Ludäscher, S.; Bach, C.
    2013. Bevölkerungsschutz, 1, 36-39
Buchaufsätze
  1. Understanding resilience: A spatio-temporal vulnerability assessment of a population affected by sudden lack of food.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2016. Advances in Managing Humanitarian Operations. Ed.: C.W. Zobel, 257-280, Springer, Cham. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-24418-1