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Arbeits- und Forschungsschwerpunkte

Betriebswirtschaftliches Risikomanagement

  • Operatives und strategisches Risiko- und Krisenmanagement
  • Risikoerfassung (Identifikation + Messung), Risikobewertung und Risikosteuerung
  • Strategische Risiken (z.B. Markteintritt und Wettbewerb, Industrie 4.0), adverse Risiken (z.B.  Wirtschaftskriminalität), Verhaltensrisiken (z.B. Non-Compliance, Moral Hazard, Vertrauens-erosion in der Organisation) und Corporate Governance
  • Supply-Chain-Risiken und Betriebskontinuitätsmanagement

Systemisches Risikomanagement

  • Vulnerabilitätsanalyse für kritische Infrastrukturen  (z.B. Netzgüter, kritische Versorgungsketten)
  • Systemmodellierung: Simulation von (interdependenten) Marktrisiken und komplexen Systemen
  • Verhaltensmodellierung in komplexen Systemen: Ansteckungs- und Kaskadeneffekte (z.B. Szenarien für Informationskaskaden oder Panikphänomene)
  • Ermittlung von Robustheit, Stabilität und Resilienz von Systemen 

Arbeits- und Forschungsmethoden

Entscheidungsmodellierung und Entscheidungsunterstützung

  • Statistische und szenarienbasierte Modelle zu Entscheidungen unter Unsicherheit und (fundamentaler) Ungewissheit (z.B. Monte-Carlo-Simulationen)
  • Statistische und szenarienbasierte Modellierung von Extremereignissen
  • Statistische und szenarienbasierte Modellierung komplexer Systeme
  • Entwicklung und Test robuster Systeme zur (Mehrziel)Entscheidungsunterstützung

Spieltheoretische Modellierung und Simulation

  • Defender-Attacker-Games, War-Gaming und einfache forensische Analysen
  • Agentenbasierte Simulation strategischer Interaktionen
  • Ökonomische Vertragstheorie, Mechanismus-Design und Verhandlungen (z.B. strategisches Verhandeln im Einkauf)
  • Verhaltensorientierte und psychologische Spieltheorie

Ökonomische Laborexperimente

  • Erhebung von Präferenzparametern  (z.B. Risikoaversion, Ambiguitätsaversion, Zeitpräferenz)
  • Analyse von Kooperations- und Koordinationsproblemen (z.B. Erhebung von Vertrauensbereitschaft, Vertrauenswürdigkeit und Akzeptanz, Beitragsbereitschaft zu einem öffentlichen Gut)
  • Analyse von starken Interessenkonflikten und Schutzstrategien (z.B. Defender-Attacker-Games)
  • Mechanismus-Design und Verhandlungsprotokolle (z.B. Risk-Shifting, multilaterale Verhandlungen)
  • Experimentelle Erprobung von Entscheidungsunterstützung

Nicht-experimentelle, interaktive Erhebungsmethoden

  • Experten- und Stakeholder-Workshops
  • Strukturierte Interviews
  • Statistische Surveys

Publikationsliste


Sonstiges
  1. Research agenda for enhanced cross-modal transport substitution and user protection.
    Doll, C.; Perrels, A.; Silla, A.; Tuominen, A.; Nokkala, M.; Bartsch, M.; Wiens, M.; Kreuz, M.; Temme, A.; Kochsiek, J.; Jaroszweski, D.
    2014
  2. Guidebook for Enhancing Resilience of European Road Transport in Extreme Weather Events.
    Doll, C.; Kühn, A.; Peters, A.; Juga, I.; Kral, S.; Enei, R.; Pietroni, F.; Mitsakis, E.; Stamos, I.; Schultmann, F.; Wiens, M.; Schätter, F.; Meng, S.; Bartsch, M.; Kynnös, K.; Hietajärvi, A.-M.; Kostiainen, J.; Mantsinen, H.; Hinkka, V.
    2014
Vorträge
  1. Framing Effects in Defender-Attacker Games – Results of an Economic Lab Experiment.
    Meng, S.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2018. 27th Annual Conference of the Society for Risk Analysis Europe, Östersund, Sweden, June 18–20, 2018
  2. An approach for analyzing the impacts of smart grid topologies on critical infrastructure resilience.
    Ottenburger, S.; Münzberg, T.
    2017. 14th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2017), Albi, F, May 21-24, 2017
  3. Risk Differentiation for Critical Infrastructure Protection.
    Meng, S.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference, 24.-28.08.2014, Davos, CH
  4. A game-theoretic approach to assess adversarial risks.
    Meng, S.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 9th International Conference on Risk Analysis and Hazard Mitigation, 04.-06.06.2014, Brockenhurst, UK
  5. Stromausfall: Schutzziele und Referenzszenarios für kritische Infrastrukturen in der kommunalen Gefahrenabwehrplanung.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Raskob, W.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. Gemeinsames Treffen des Arbeitskreises Naturgefahren/-risiken der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Geographie und des Katastrophennetzes KatNET e.V., Berlin, 29.-30.September 2015
  6. Measuring resilience - the benefits of an empirical study of power outages by media data.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Raskob, W.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. Future Security 2015 : 10th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 15-17, 2015
  7. A transparent approach for prioritising security measures.
    Müller, T.; Meng, S.; Raskob, W.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. Future Security 2015 : 10th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 15-17, 2015
  8. Critical infrastructure resilience: a framework for considering micro and macro observation levels.
    Brauner, F.; Wiens, M.; Lechleuthner, A.; Münzberg, T.; Fiedrich, F.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2015), Kristiansand, N, May 24-27, 2015
  9. The effect of coping capacity depletion on critical infrastructure resilience.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultman, F.
    2015. 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2015), Kristiansand, N, May 24-27, 2015
  10. The SEAK project: Decision support for managing disruptions in food supply chains.
    Motzke, A.; Balster, A.; Hansen, O.; Herrmannsdörfer, M.; Schätter, F.; Friedrich, H.; Raskob, W.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Future Security : 9th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 16-18, 2014
  11. Dynamic-spatial vulnerability assessments: a methodical review for decision support in emergency planning for power outages.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Humanitarian Technology: Science, Systems and Global Impact (HumTech 2014), Boston, Mass., May 13-15, 2014
  12. Ausfall kritischer Infrastrukturen: Gefahrenabwehrpläne und Notfallkonzepte auf kommunaler Ebene.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 62.Jahresfachtagung der Vereinigung zur Föerdrung des Deutschen Brandschutzes, Dortmund, 16.-18.Juni 2014
  13. A decision support approach: evaluating the effectiveness of security measures by scenario-based multi-criteria analysis.
    Lin, L.; Möhrle, S.; Münzberg, T.; Raskob, W.
    2014. Future Security : 9th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 16-18, 2014
  14. Disruptions of food supply chains: A spatial vulnerability assessment approach for disaster management.
    Münzberg, T.; Motzke, A.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Future Security : 9th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 16-18, 2014
  15. A strategy evaluation framework based on dynamic vulnerability assessments.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 11th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, University Park, Pa., May 18-21, 2014
  16. Resilienz verstehen: Eine ganzheitliche und raumzeitliche Analyse der Wirkungen von Stromausfällen.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 14. Forum Katastrophenvorsorge, Leipzig, 4.-5. November 2014
  17. Near-real-time forensic disaster analysis: experiences from hurricane Sandy.
    Kunz, M.; Mühr, B.; Schröter, K.; Kunz-Plapp, T.; Daniell, J.; Khazai, B.; Wenzel, F.; Vannieuwenhuyse, M.; Comes, T.; Münzberg, T.; Elmer, F.; Fohringer, J.; Lucas, C.; Trieselmann, W.; Zschau, J.
    2013. European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly, Wien, A, April 7-12, 2013 Geophysical Research Abstracts, 15(2013) EGU2013-9183
  18. Priorization of security measures against terrorist threats to public rail transport systems using a scenario-based multi-criteria method and a knowledge database.
    Lin, L.; Brauner, F.; Münzberg, T.; Meng, S.; Moehrle, S.
    2013. 8th Future Security Conference, Berlin, September 17-19, 2013
  19. An integrated multi-criteria approach on vulnerability analysis in the context of load reduction.
    Münzberg, T.; Möhrle, S.; Müller, T.; Comes, T.; Schultmann, F.
    2013. 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM), Baden-Baden, May 12-15, 2013
  20. Decision support for critical infrastructure disruptions: An integrated approach to secure food supply.
    Münzberg, T.; Comes, T.; Groß, W.; Berbner, U.; Friedrich, H.; Pfohl, H. C.; Schultmann, F.
    2013. 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM), Baden-Baden, May 12-15, 2013
Forschungsberichte
  1. Schlussbericht BMBF Verbundprojekt SEAK, Teilvorhaben: Methoden zur szenariobasierten multikriteriellen Entscheidungsunterstützung für robuste Lebensmittelwarenketten.
    Bartsch, M.; Schätter, F.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2016. KIT, Karlsruhe
  2. Guidebook for Enhancing Resilience of European Air Traffic in Extreme Weather Events.
    Temme, A.; Kreuz, M.; Mühlhausen, T.; Schmitz, R.; Hyvärinen, O.; Kral, S.; Schätter, F.; Bartsch, M.; Michaelides, S.; Tymvios, F.; Papadakis, M.; Athanasatos, S.
    2014
  3. DSM CIP: The SEAK project, decision support for managing disruptions in food supply chains.
    Motzke, A.; Schätter, F.
    2014. Zschau, J. [Hrsg.] CEDIM Annual Research Report 2013 : Focus on Forensic Disaster Analysis in Near Real-Time Potsdam : Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology, 2014
  4. DSM CIP: Critical infrastructure disruption, decision support through assessing spatial vulnerabilities.
    Münzberg, T.
    2014. Zschau, J. [Hrsg.] CEDIM Annual Research Report 2013 : Focus on Forensic Disaster Analysis in Near Real-Time Potsdam : Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology, 2014
  5. DSM CIP: THe KritisF&E project, review on critical infrastructure protection related research projects.
    Münzberg, T.; Wandler, S.; Deines, E.
    2014. Zschau, J. [Hrsg.] CEDIM Annual Research Report 2013 : Focus on Forensic Disaster Analysis in Near Real-Time Potsdam : Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology, 2014
  6. DSM CIP: The RIKOV project, risks and costs of terrorist threats against public rail transport systems.
    Lin, L.; Meng, S.; Möhrle, S.
    2014. Zschau, J. [Hrsg.] CEDIM Annual Research Report 2013 : Focus on Forensic Disaster Analysis in Near Real-Time Potsdam : Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology, 2014
  7. Decision support methods in the field of critical infrastructure protection (DSM CIP): overview.
    Münzberg, T.; Möhrle, S.; Raskob, W.
    2014. Zschau, J. [Hrsg.] CEDIM Annual Research Report 2013 : Focus on Forensic Disaster Analysis in Near Real-Time Potsdam : Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology, 2014
  8. Assessment of indirect losses and economic impacts.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Zschau, J. [Hrsg.] CEDIM Annual Research Report 2013 : Focus on Forensic Disaster Analysis in Near Real-Time Potsdam : Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology, 2014
Proceedingsbeiträge
  1. An approach for analyzing the impacts of smart grid topologies on critical infrastructure resilience.
    Ottenburger, S.; Münzberg, T.
    2017. Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2017). Agility is Coming. Albi, F, May 21-24, 2017. Ed.: T. Comes, 400-411, ISCRAM
  2. The supply chain as a complex system in German manufacturing (Abstract).
    Schultmann, F.; Bartsch, M.; Wiens, M.
    2014. IEEE 9th International System of Systems Engineering Conference, June 9-13, 2014, Stamford Grand, Adelaine
  3. Strategic Deterrence of Terrorist Attacks.
    Wiens, M.; Meng, S.; Schultmann, F.
    2016. Operations Research Proceedings 2014 : Selected Papers of the Annual International Conference of the German Operations Research Society (GOR), RWTH Aachen University, Germany, September 2-5, 2014. Ed.: M. Lübbecke, 621-626, Springer, Cham. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-28697-6_86
  4. Optimizing security vis-à-vis terrorist attacks. An application for public rail transport systems.
    Wiens, M.; Hu, B.; Schmitz, W.; Meng, S.; Pickl, S.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 9th future security : proceedings / Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 16 - 18, 2014. Ed.: K. Thoma, 257–265, Fraunhofer Verl., Stuttgart
  5. A multi-stage scenario construction approach for critical infrastructure protection.
    Schätter, F.; Meng, S.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. ISCRAM 2014 Conference Proceedings, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA, May 18‑21, 2014. 11th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management. Ed.: S. R. Hiltz, 399–408, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park (PA)
  6. Prioritization of security measures against terrorist threats to public rail transport systems using a scenario-based multi-criteria method and a knowledge data base.
    Lin, L.; Brauner, F.; Münzberg, T.; Meng, S.; Moehrle, S.
    2013. 8th future security : proceedings, Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 17 - 19, 2013. Ed.: M. Lauster, 195-204, Fraunhofer Verl., Stuttgart
  7. Industrial Vulnerability against Climate Change Impacts – An Indicator-Based Analysis for Germany and the Stuttgart Metropolitan Area.
    Schmidt, H.-M.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. The 5th World Sustainability Forum, 7–9 September 2015, Basel
  8. Risk Differentiation for Critical Infrastructure Protection.
    Meng, S.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Proceedings of the 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference, Davos, Switzerland, 24 August 2014 through 28 August 2014. Ed.: M. Stal, 472-475, GRF, Davos
  9. A game-theoretic approach to assess adversarial risks.
    Meng, S.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Risk Analysis IX : [Containing papers presented at the 9th International Conference on Computer Simulation in Risk Analysis and Hazard Mitigation, New Forerst; United Kingdom; 4 June 2014 through 6 June 2014]. Ed.: C.A. Brebbia, 141-152, WIT Press, Southhampton. doi:10.2495/RISK140131
  10. The effect of coping capacity depletion on critical infrastructure resilience.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultman, F.
    2015. 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2015), Kristiansand, NO, May 24-27, 2015. Ed.: L. Palen., ISCRAM, Kristiansand, NO
  11. Critical infrastructure resilience: a framework for considering micro and macro observation levels.
    Brauner, F.; Wiens, M.; Lechleuthner, A.; Münzberg, T.; Fiedrich, F.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2015), Kristiansand, N, May 24-27, 2015.Ed.: L. Palen, Palen, L. [Hrsg.] 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2015), Kristiansand, N, May 24-27, 2015 Proceedings published online, Online
  12. Measuring resilience - the benefits of an empirical study of power outages by media data.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Raskob, W.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. Security Research Conference : 10th Future Security, Berlin, September 15-17, 2015 Proceedings. Hrsg.: J. Beyerer, 379-387, Fraunhofer Verl., Stuttgart
  13. A transparent approach for prioritising security measures.
    Müller, T.; Meng, S.; Raskob, W.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. Security Research Conference : 10th Future Security, Berlin, September 15-17, 2015. Proceedings. Hrsg.: J. Beyerer, 217-224, Fraunhofer Verl., Stuttgart
  14. The SEAK project: Decision support for managing disruptions in food supply chains.
    Motzke, A.; Balster, A.; Hansen, O.; Herrmannsdörfer, M.; Schätter, F.; Friedrich, H.; Raskob, W.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Future Security : 9th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 16-18, 2014. Hrsg.: K. Thoma, 581-584, Fraunhofer Verl., Stuttgart
  15. Ausfall kritischer Infrastrukturen: Gefahrenabwehrpläne und Notfallkonzepte auf kommunaler Ebene.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 62.Jahresfachtagung der Vereinigung zur Förderung des Deutschen Brandschutzes, Dortmund, 16.-18.Juni 2014, 675-686, Vereinigung zur Förderung des Deuschen Brandschutzes e.V., Albenberge
  16. A decision support approach: evaluating the effectiveness of security measures by scenario-based multi-criteria analysis.
    Lin, L.; Möhrle, S.; Münzberg, T.; Raskob, W.
    2014. Future Security : 9th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 16-18, 2014. Hrsg.: K. Thoma, 266-273, Fraunhofer Verl., Stuttgart
  17. Disruptions of food supply chains: A spatial vulnerability assessment approach for disaster management.
    Münzberg, T.; Motzke, A.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Future Security : 9th Security Research Conference, Berlin, September 16-18, 2014. Hrsg.: K. Thoma, 48-55, Fraunhofer Verl., Stuttgart
  18. A strategy evaluation framework based on dynamic vulnerability assessments.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. 11th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, University Park, Pa., May 18-21, 2014. Ed.: S. R. Hiltz, 45-54, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA
  19. Near Real-Time Forensic Disaster Analysis: experiences from hurricane Sandy.
    Kunz, M.; Mühr, B.; Schröter, K.; Kunz-Plapp, T.; Daniell, J.; Khazai, B.; Wenzel, F.; Vannieuwenhuyse, M.; Gomes, T.; Münzberg, T.; Elmer, F.; Fohringer, J.; Lucas, C.; Trieselmann, W.; Zschau, J.
    2013. European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly, Wien, Österreich, April 7-12, 2013
  20. A generic system dynamic approach for the management of critical infrastructure disruptions.
    Münzberg, T.; Comes, T.; Schultmann, F.
    2012. Proceedings of the 9th International ISCRAM Conference, International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, Vancouver, Canada, April 22-25, 2012. Ed.: L. Rothkrantz, Simon Fraser University, Vancouver (CDN)
  21. An integrated multi-criteria approach on vulnerability analysis in the context of load reduction.
    Münzberg, T.; Mörle, S.; Müller, T.; Comes, T.; Schultmann, F.
    2013. 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM), Baden-Baden, 12.-15. Mai 2013. Hrsg.: T. Comes, 251-260, Karlsruhe Inst.of Technology, Campus North, Karlsruhe
  22. Decision support for critical infrastructure disruptions: An integrated approach to secure food supply.
    Münzberg, T.; Comes, T.; Groß, W.; Berbner, U.; Friedrich, H.; Pfohl, H. C.; Schultmann, F.
    2013. 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM), Baden-Baden, 12.-15.Mai 2013. Hrsg.: T. Comes, 312-316, Karlsruhe Inst.of Technology, Campus North, Karlsruhe
  23. Myofiber orientation and electrical activation in human and sheep atrial models.
    Zhao, J.; Krueger, M. W.; Seemann, G.; Meng, S.; Zhang, H.; Dössel, O.; LeGrice, I. J.; Smaill, B. H.
    2012. Proceedings of the 34th Annual International Conference of the IEEE Engineering in Medicine & Biology Society, San Diego, USA, August 28 - September 1, 2012, 6365 - 6368, IEEE, Piscataway (NJ). doi:10.1109/EMBC.2012.6347450
Zeitschriftenaufsätze
  1. Schmutzige Bomben und ihre möglichen Folgen für die Bevölkerung.
    Raskob, W.; Münzberg, T.
    2017. Crisis prevention, 1, 41-43
  2. A spatial-temporal vulnerability assessment to support the building of community resilience against power outage impacts.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2017. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 121, 99-118. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2016.11.027
  3. A new focus on risk reduction: An ad hoc decision support system for humanitarian relief logistics.
    Schätter, F.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2015. Ecosystem Health and Sustainability, 1 (3), 1-11. doi:10.1890/EHS14-0020.1
  4. Dynamic-spatial vulnerability assessments: a methodical review for decision support in emergency planning for power outages.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2014. Procedia Engineering, 78, 78-87. doi:10.1016/j.proeng.2014.07.042
  5. Investigation of superstorm Sandy 2012 in a multi-disciplinary approach.
    Kunz, M.; Mühr, B.; Kunz-Plapp, T.; Daniell, J. E.; Khazai, B.; Wenzel, F.; Vannieuwenhuyse, M.; Comes, T.; Elmer, F.; Schröter, K.; Fohringer, J.; Münzberg, T.; Lucas, C.; Zschau, J.
    2013. Natural hazards and earth system sciences, 13 (10), 2579-2598. doi:10.5194/nhessd-1-625-2013
  6. Beherrschung und Bewältigung von Stromausfällen. Vorbereitung der Kommunalen Gefahrenabwehr.
    Münzberg, T.; Käser, B.; Bach, C.; Schultmann, F.
    2013. VFDB-Zeitschrift, (4), 205-211
  7. Stromausfall gegen Stromausfälle.Wie Lastreduzierungen Netzzusammenbrüche verhindern können und welches Dilemma daraus für den Bevölkerungsschutz und die Gefahrenabwehrplanung resultiert.
    Münzberg, T.; Ludäscher, S.; Bach, C.
    2013. Bevölkerungsschutz, 1, 36-39
Buchaufsätze
  1. Understanding resilience: A spatio-temporal vulnerability assessment of a population affected by sudden lack of food.
    Münzberg, T.; Wiens, M.; Schultmann, F.
    2016. Advances in Managing Humanitarian Operations. Ed.: C.W. Zobel, 257-280, Springer, Cham. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-24418-1