Publications in the field of risk management


Peer-reviewed journal papers:

2012 
 
Ch. Trinks, Hiete, M. Comes, T. & Schultmann, F. (2012): Extreme weather events and road and rail transportation in Germany. International Journal of Emergency Management, 8(3), 207-227.

Merz, M., Hiete, M. Comes, T. & Schultmann, F (accepted): A composite indicator model to assess natural disaster risks in industry on a spatial level. Journal of Risk Research.

Hiete, M., Merz. M., Comes, T. & Schultmann, F. (2012): Trapezoidal Fuzzy DEMATEL method to analyse and correct for relations between variables in a composite indicator for disaster resilience. OR Spectrum, 34(4), 977-995. Avalaible online: www.springerlink.com/content/qg561n2l26327573.

 
2011 
 
Comes, T., Conrado, C., Hiete, M., Wijngaards, N. & Schultmann, F. (2011): A distributed scenario-based decision support system for robust decision-making in complex situations. International Journal of Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, 3(4), 16-35. Available online: http://www.igi-global.com/journal/international-journal-information-systems-crisis/1119 
 
Comes, T., Hiete, M. & Schultmann, F. (conditionally accepted): A decision support system for multi-criteria decision problems under severe uncertainty. Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
 
Comes, T., Hiete, M., Wijngaards, N. & Schultmann, F. (2011): Decision Maps: A framework for multi-criteria decision support under severe uncertainty. Decision Support Systems, 52(1), 108-118. Available online: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167923611001163 . 
 
Hiete, M., Merz, M. & Schultmann, F. (2011): Scenario-based impact assessment of a power blackout on healthcare facilities in Germany. International Journal of Disaster Resilience in the Built Environment, 2(3), 222-244. 
 
Khazai, B., Merz, M, Schulz, C. & Borst, D. (submitted): An indicator framework to compare regional vulnerability in society and industrial sectors. Natural Hazards
 
Merz, M., Hiete, M. & Schultmann, F. (2011): Critical Infrastructure Protection in Germany: Accounting for Inter-infrastructure Dependencies and Facilitating Public-Private Cooperation, The CIP Report. Center for Infrastructure Protection and Homeland Security, 9(2), 18-22.
 
 
2010 
 
Hiete, M., Bertsch, V., Comes, T., Schultmann, F. & Raskob, W. (2010): Evaluation strategies for nuclear and radiological emergency and post-accident management. Radioprotection. 45(5), 133–148. 
 
Seifert, I.; Thieken, T. H.; Merz, M.; Borst, D. & Werner, U. (2010): Estimation of industrial and commercial asset values for hazard risk assessment. Natural Hazards. 52(2), 453-479. 
 
2009 
 
Geldermann, J., Bertsch, V., Treitz, M., French, S., Papamichail, K.N. & Hämäläinen, R.P. (2009): Multi-criteria Decision Support and Evaluation of Strategies for Nuclear Remediation Management; OMEGA - The International Journal of Management Science. 37(1), 238 – 251.
 
Merz, M.; Hiete, M.& Bertsch, V. (2009): Multicriteria decision support for business conti-nuity planning in the event of critical infrastructure disruptions. International Journal of Critical Infrastructures. 5 (1/2), 156–174. 
 
2008 
 
Bertsch, V. & Geldermann, J.(2008): Preference Elication and Sensitivity Analysis in Multi-Criteria Group Decision Support for Industrial Risk and Emergency Management. International Journal of Emergency Management. 5 (1/2), 7–24. 
 
Hiete, M. and Merz, M. (2008): Critical Infrastructure and Industrial Supply Chains. European CIIP Newsletter, 4 (3), 24-26. 
 
Geldermann, J., Mertz, M., Bertsch, V., Hiete, M., Rentz, O., Seifert, I., Thieken, A.H., Borst, D. & Werner, U. (2008): The Reference Installation Approach for the Estimation of Industrial Assets at Risk. European Journal of Industrial Engineering. 2(1), 73-93. 
 
2007 
 
Bertsch, V., Treitz, M., Geldermann, J. & Rentz, O. (2007): Sensitivity Analyses in Multi-Attribute Decision Support for Off-Site Nuclear Emergency and Recovery Management; International Journal of Energy Sector Management. 1(4), 342-365. 
 
Treitz, M., Bertsch, V., Geldermann, J. & Rentz, O. (2007): Preference and Data Sensitivity Analyses for Multi-Criteria Decision Support. Journal of Multi Criteria Decision Analysis
 
2006 
 
Bertsch, V., Geldermann, J.,Rentz, O. & Raskob, W. (2006): Multi-Criteria Decision Support and Stakeholder Involvement in Emergency Management. International Journal of Emergency Management. 3(2/3), 114-130. 
 
Geldermann, J., Bertsch, V. & Rentz, O. (2006): Nukleares Katastrophen-Management als europäische Aufgabe - Mehrzielentscheidungsunterstützung zur Bewertung alternativer Maßnahmenstrategien. 50 Jahre Operations Research - Sonderausgabe der OR-News, 116-118.
 


Monographs: 
 
2011 
 
Comes, T. (2011): Decision Maps for Distributed Scenario-Based Multi-Criteria Decision Support. KIT-Verlag, Karlsruhe. 
 
Merz, M. (2011): Entwicklung einer indikatorbasierten Methodik zur Vulnerabilitätsanalyse für die Bewertung von Risiken in der industriellen Produktion. KIT-Verlag, Karlsruhe.
 
2010 
 
Hiete, M., Merz, M., Trinks, Ch., Grambs, W. & Thiede, T. (2010): Krisenhandbuch Stromausfall Baden Württemberg. Innenministerium Baden-Württemberg, Bundesamt für Bevölkerungsschutz und Katastrophenhilfe (BBK) (ed.). 
 
2008 
 
Bertsch, V. (2008):Uncertainty Handling in Multi-Attribute Decision Support for Industrial Risk Management. Universitätsverlag, Karlsruhe 
 


Book chapters / Conference Proceedings based on peer-reviewed papers:
 

2012

Comes, T., Wijngaards, N. & Schultmann, F. (in press): Designing distributed multi-criteria decision support systems for complex and uncertain situations. In: M. Doumpos, E. Grigoroudis (eds.) Multicriteria Decision Aid and Artificial Intelligence: Links, Theory, and Applications, John Wiley & Sons.

 

2010 

 
Comes, T., M. Hiete, N. Wijngaards & F. Schultmann (2010): Integrating scenario-based reasoning into a multi-criteria decision support system for emergency management. In: Advanced ICTs for Disaster Management and Threat Detection: Collaborative and Dis-tributed Frameworks, E. Asimakopoulou & N. Bessis (eds.), IGI Global. 
 
2009 
 
Hiete, M., J. Ludwig, M. Merz & V. Bertsch (2009): Ökodesign von Gebäuden – Visualisierungstechniken für Mehrzielentscheidungsprobleme. In: Heyde, F., A. Löhne & Ch. Tammer (eds.): Methods of Multicriteria Decision Theory and Applications, 57-78, Shaker Verlag Aachen. 
 
Comes, T., M. Hiete & M. Merz (2009): Integration szenariobasierter Methoden in die multikriterielle Entscheidungsunterstützung mit Hilfe von Causal Maps. In: J. Geldermann und L.-P. Lauven (eds.) Einsatz von OR-Methoden zur Entscheidungsunterstützung, Shaker Verlag, 64-81. 
 
2007 
 
Bertsch, V., Geldermann, J. & Rentz, O. (2007): Preference Sensitivity Analyses for Multi-Attribute Decision Support, In: K.-H. Waldmann and U. M. Stocker (eds.), Operations Research Proceedings 2006, 411-416, Springer. 
 
2006
 
Geldermann, J., Treitz, M., Bertsch & V., Rentz, O. (2006): Sensitivitätsanalysen in PROMETHEE, In: Multicriteria Decision Making and Fuzzy Systems, 59-74, Shaker Verlag Aachen. 
 
Schollenberger, H., Treitz, M., Geldermann, J. & Rentz, O. (2006): Multi Objective Pinch Analysis (MOPA) using PROMETHEE to Evaluate Resource Efficiency, In: Haasis, H.-D., Kopfer, H., Schönberger, J. (eds.) in: Operations Research Proceedings; 565-570; Springer; Berlin.
 
Geldermann, J., Ludwig, J., Treitz, M., Rentz, O. (2006): Production Planning in Dynamic and Seasonal Markets. In: Operations Research Proceedings; Springer; Berlin. 
 
2005
 
Geldermann, J., Schollenberger, H., Treitz, M. & Rentz, O. (2005): Multi Objective Pinch Analysis (MOPA) for Integrated Process Design. In: Fleuren, H A, Hertog, D, Kort, P M (eds.) Operations Research Proceedings 2004; 461-469; Springer; Berlin. 
 
Geldermann, J., Treitz, M., Bertsch, V. & Rentz, O. (2005): Moderated Decision Support and Countermeasure Planning for Off-Site Emergency Management. In: Loulou, R, Waaub, J-P, Zaccour, G (eds.) in: Energy and Environment: Modeling and Analysis; 63-80; Kluwer Academic Publishers. 
 
2004 
 
Treitz, M., Geldermann, J. & Rentz, O. (2004): Mehrzielentscheidungen in der integrierten Anlagenplanung auf der Grundlage der Pinch-Analyse. In: Geldermann, J, Treitz, M (eds.) Entscheidungstheorie und -praxis in industrieller Produktion und Umweltforschung; 53-70; Shaker; Aachen.
 
 

Conference Proceedings based on peer-reviewed papers: 
 
2012 
Comes, T. (accepted): Robust emergency management strategies:  Providing support for sequential decisions. 46th  Hawaii International Conference On System Sciences (HICSS 46), Mauii.

Comes, T., Wijngaards, N. & Schultmann, F. (2012): Efficient Scenarios Updating in Emergency Management. 9th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2012)

Comes, T. & Schultmann, F. (2012): Enhancing Robustness Against Natural Hazards in Supply Chain Management. 10th International Conference on Applied Mathematical Optimization and Modelling (APMOD 2012)

Comes, T., Wijngaards, N., Maule, J., Allen, D. & Schultmann, F. (2012): Scenario Reliability Assessment to Support Decision Makers in Situations of Severe Uncertainty. 2012 IEEE Conference on Cognitive Methods in Situation Awareness and Decision Support (CogSIMA)
 
Münzberg, Th., Comes, T. & Schultmann, F. (2012): Critical Infrastructure Disruptions: A Generic System Dynamic Approach for Decision Support. 4th International Disaster and Risk Conference (IDRC).
 
2011 
 
Asadi , S. Badica, C., Comes, T., Conrado, C., Evers, V., Groen, F., Illie, S. Lilienthal, A., Pashami, S., Pavlin, G., Pehrsson, J., Pinchuk, R., Scafes, M. & Wijngaards, N. (2011): ICT solutions supporting collaborative information acquisition, situation assessment and decision making in contemporary environmental management problems: the DIADEM approach. EnviroInfo, Ispra 2011. 
 
Comes, T.,Hiete, M., & Schultmann, F. (2011): A Spatial Scenario-Based Multi-Criteria Decision Support System for Strategic Emergency Management. In: Proceedings of the 73rd Meeting of the European Working Group Multiple Criteria Decision Aiding, Corte, 14.–16. April 2011. 
 
Comes, T.,Hiete, M., & Schultmann, F. (2011): Managing risks under uncertainty: Scenario-Based Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis. In: Proceedings of the ESA Conference on Risk, Uncertainty and Policy, 23.–25. März 2011, Mid Sweden University, Östersund. 
 
2010 
 
Comes, T., C. Conrado, M. Hiete, G. Pavlin & N. Wijngaards, (2010): An intelligent decision support system for decision making under uncertainty in distributed reasoning frame-works, 7th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2010), May 2-5, 2010, Seattle. 
 
Comes, T., Hiete, M. & Schultmann, F. (2010): A decision support system for multi-criteria decision problems under severe uncertainty in longer-term emergency managements. – 25th Mini EURO Conference on Uncertainty and Robustness in Planning and Decision Making (URPDM2010), Coimbra, Portugal, 15-17 April 2010.
 
2009 
 
Comes, T., M. Hiete, N. Wijngaards, M. Kempen (2009): Integrating Scenario-Based Rea-soning into Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, ISCRAM Conference, 11-13 May 2009, Göteborg. 
 
Hiete, M. & M. Merz (2009): An Indicator Framework to Assess the Vulnerability of Industrial Sectors against Indirect Disaster Losses, ISCRAM Conference, 11-13 May 2009, Göteborg. 
 
2007 
 
Bertsch, V., Rentz, O. & Geldermann, J. (2007): Preference Elicitation and Sensitivity Analysis in Multi-Criteria Group Decision Support for Nuclear Remediation Management, in: B. Van de Walle, P. Burghardt and K. Nieuwenhuis (Eds.), ISCRAM 2007 4th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, Delft, The Netherlands, 395-404, VUBPRESS, Brussels. 
 
2006 
 
Bertsch, V., Geldermann, J. & Rentz, O. (2006): Multidimensional Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis in Multi-Criteria Decision Support, In: Mayer, F. and Stahre, J. (eds.): Proceedings of the 9th IFAC Symposium on Automated Systems Based on Human Skill and Knowledge, Nancy, 2006.
 
2005 
 
Geldermann, J., Bertsch, V. & Rentz, O. (2005): Multi-criteria Decision Support for Emergency and Remediation Management - Preference Elicitation and Evaluation of Strategies. 61st Meeting of the EURO Working Group "Multiple Criteria Decision Aiding", Luxembourg.
 
Raskob, W., Bertsch, V., Geldermann, J., Baig, S. & Gering, F. (2005): Demands to and experience with the Decision Support System RODOS for off-site emergency management in the decision making process in Germany, In: Carle, B. and Van de Walle, B. (eds.): Proceedings of the Second International ISCRAM Conference, Brussels, Belgium. 
 
 

Proceedings based on peer-reviewed abstracts:
 

2012

Comes, T., Vannieuwenhuyse, M. & Schultmann, F. (accepted): Assessing the vulnerability of cross-border territories: an indicator framework. 12. Forum Katastrophenvorsorge des Deutschen Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge (DKKV), Bonn, 2012.

2011 

 
Comes, T., Conrado, C., Dalmas, T., Wijngaards, N. & Schultmann, F. (2011). Robust Decision Making: Multi-Criteria Scenario-Based Decision Analysis. In: 23rd Benelux Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Gent, November 3-4 2011. 
 
Comes, T., Hiete, M. & Schultmann, F. (2011): Managing risks under uncertainty: Scenario-Based Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis. In: Proceedings of the ESA Conference on Risk, Uncertainty and Policy, Mid Sweden University, Östersund, March 23–25 2011. 
 
Trinks, Ch, Hiete, M. & Schultmann, F. (2011): Impacts of Extreme Weather Events on Road and Railway Transport Infrastructures in Southwest Germany. In: TIEMS Workshop, Alès, June 22-23, 2011. 
 
Trinks. Ch., Hiete, M., Merz, M. & Schultmann, F. (2011): Elektrizitätsversorgung - Achillesferse für das Funktionieren einer modernen Gesellschaft, Extremwetterkongress, Hamburg, April 12-15, 2011. 
 
2010 
 
Comes, T., Hiete, M. & Schultmann, F. (2010): An ICT system for decision making under severe uncertainty in disaster management. International Disaster and Risk Conference, 30 May - 03 June 2010, Davos, Switzerland. 
 
Hiete, M., Merz, M. & Schultmann, F. (2010): A trapezoidal Fuzzy DEMATEL-approach to assess dependencies among sub-indicators of a hierarchical disaster indicator model for indirect industrial disaster vulnerability. EURO XXIV, July 11-14, 2010, Lisbon. 
 
Merz, M., Hiete, M. & Schultmann, F. (2010): An indicator framework for the assessment of the indirect disaster vulnerability of industrial production systems. International Disaster and Risk Conference (IDRC), Davos, 30 May - 03 June, 2010. 
 
Trinks, Ch., Hiete, M. & Schultmann, F. (2010): Auswirkungen extremer Wetterereignisse auf die Transportsysteme in europäischen Regionen, DACH Meteorologentagung, Bonn September 20-24, 2010. 
 
2009 
 
Comes, C., M. Hiete & F. Schultmann (2009): Einsatz von Szenarien im Notfallmanagement zur Informationsverarbeitung und Entscheidungsunterstützung. 10th DKKV-Forum Katastrophenvorsorge - Katastrophen – Datenhintergrund und Informationen. Bonn, November 23-24, 2009. 
 
2008
 
Hiete, M. & M. Merz (2008): Krisenmanagement bei einer großflächigen Unterbrechung der Stromversorgung am Beispiel Baden-Württemberg. VWEW-Fachtagung Effektives Störungs- und Krisenmanagement in EVU Erfahrungen, Strategien, Maßnahmen. Fulda, April 8-9, 2008. 
 
Merz, M., Hiete M. & Bertsch V. (2008): Management of Critical Infrastructure Disruptions in Industrial Supply Chains. IDRC, Davos, Augus 25-29, 2008. 
 
Merz, M., M. Hiete, V. Bertsch & D. Rostal (2008): Multi criteria decision support for business continuity planning in the event of critical infrastructure disruptions. 5th Dresden Symposium Hazards – Detection and Management, Dresden, March 03-07, 2008. 
 
2007 
 
Bertsch, V., M. Merz, M. Hiete & O. Rentz (2007): Structured Decision Support to Manage Risks Emerging from Industrial Production. 7th Annual IIASA-DPRI Forum on Integrated Disaster Risk Management, Stresa, 19-21 September, 2007. 
 
Merz, M., Hiete, M., Bertsch, V. & Rentz, O. (2007): Decision support for managing interruptions in industrial supply chains. 8. DKKV-Forum Katastrophenvorsorge - Katastrophenvorsorge im Klimawandel
 
Merz, M., Geldermann, J., Bertsch, V., Läpke, D. & Rentz, O. (2007): Decision Support for Crisis Management by Large-Scale Exercises, 14th Annual Conference 2007 of the International Emergency Management Society (TIEMS), 147-157. 
 
Seifert, I., Merz, M., Thieken, A.H., Bertsch, V., Hiete, M., Werner, U. & Borst, D. (2007): Effiziente Katastrophenvorsorge durch Abschätzung des Schadenspotenzials - ein Ansatz zur Abschätzung des industriellen Anlagevermögens. 8. DKKV-Forum Katastrophenvorsorge - Katastrophenvorsorge und Klimawandel. 
 
Taubenböck, H.; Roth, A.; Pengler, I.; Habermeyer, M.; Schwaiger, B.; Cypra, S. & Hiete, M. (2007): A multi-scale urban analysis of the Hyderabad metropolitan area using remote sensing and GIS. Urban Remote Sensing Joint Event, Paris, April 11-13, 2007. 
 
2006 
 
Bertsch, V., Geldermann, J. & Rentz, O. (2006): Preference Sensitivity Analyses for Multi-Attribute Decision Support, Annual International Conference of the German Operations Research Society (GOR), Karlsruhe, Germany. 
 
2005 
 
Bertsch, V., Gering, F., Geldermann, J. & Rentz, O. (2005): Modelling, Propagation and Visualisation of Uncertainties in the Real-time On-line Decision Support System RODOS, In: International Conference on Monitoring, Assessments and Uncertainties for Nuclear and Radiological Emergency Response; Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. 
 
Bertsch, V., Geldermann, J. & Rentz, O. (2005): Multi-Criteria Decision Support and Moderation Techniques for off-site Emergency Management, TIEMS 12th Annual Conference, Faroe Islands.
 
 

Presentations and Lectures: 
 

2012

Comes, T. (2012): Assessing indirect disaster losses. Expert Hearing on modeling BI exposures, Swiss Re Centre for Global Dialogue, Rüschlikon.

Comes, T. (2012): Designing a decision support system for complex and uncertain situations. Information Management Seminars, Tilburg University.

Münzberg, Th., Comes, T. & Schultmann, F. (2012) A generic system dynamic approach for the management of critical infrastructure disruptions. 9th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2012)

2011 

 
Comes, T., Hiete, M. & Schultmann, F. (2011): Robustheit in der szenariobasierten multikriteriellen Entscheidungsunterstützung. GOR-Workshop der Arbeitsgruppen "Entscheidungstheorie und -praxis" und "Wirtschaftsinformatik", Hamburg, March 30 – April 01, 2011. 
 
Comes, T., Conrado, C., Dalmas, T., Hiete, M., Wijngaards, N, & Schultmann, F. (2011): Demonstration: Robust Scenario-Based Multi-Criteria Decision Support in Strategic Emergency Management. 8th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2011), Lisbon, May 2011. 
 
Trinks, Ch., Hiete, M. & Schultmann, F. (2011): Management of weather-induced emergencies in transport, Stiftung Umwelt und Schadenvorsorge Symposium 2011 Hagel - Blitz - Tornado: Millionenschäden in Minuten. Neuhausen auf den Fildern 30.3. - 31.3.2011. 
 
2010 
 
Comes, T., Conrado, C., Hiete, M., Kamermans, M., Wijngaards, N. & Schultmann, F. (2010): An intelligent decision support system for decision making under uncertainty in distributed reasoning frameworks. 22nd BeNeLuX Conference on Artificial Intelligence (BNAIC 2010), Luxemburg, October 25–26, 2010. 
 
Comes, T., Hiete, M. & Schultmann, F. (2010): Einsatz von Szenarien zur multikriteriellen Entscheidungsunterstützung bei schwerwiegenden Unsicherheiten. GOR-Workshop Vector Optimization of Complex Structures, Erlangen, March 17–19, 2010. 
 
Comes, T., Hiete, M. & Schultmann, F. (2010): A new concept for integrating different types of uncertainty in scenario construction and selection. Conference on Risk and Uncertainties in Environmental Decision Making, Ascona, April 25–29, 2010. 
 
Trinks, Ch. (2010): Weather Extremes: Impacts on Transport Systems and Hazards for European Regions, ForumAlpinum, München, October 6-9, 2010. 
 
2009 
 
Merz, M., M. Hiete, F.& Schultmann (2009): Entwicklung eines Indikatorenmodells zur Ermittlung der indirekten industriellen Vulnerabilität auf Kreisebene. 10. DKKV-Forum Katastrophenvorsorge - Katastrophen – Datenhintergrund und Informationen, Bonn, November 23-24, 2009.